Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 54.192784 62.010022 70.047248 78.893158 88.322105 98.040778 108.784367
2026-01-11 41.903423 52.948116 64.878750 78.577106 93.734266 109.871033 128.232437
2026-01-18 34.389416 47.057555 61.274687 78.106142 97.213157 117.989887 142.063339
2026-01-25 29.193263 43.012839 59.063632 78.568684 101.179078 126.179447 155.552553
2026-02-01 24.485929 38.930481 56.291403 77.918683 103.474387 132.154362 166.260520
2026-02-08 20.882544 35.778941 54.275938 77.844115 106.166220 138.357663 177.029909
2026-02-15 17.484566 32.497320 51.790143 76.937177 107.657172 142.999832 185.862579
2026-02-22 15.402805 30.748717 51.054386 78.016477 111.385326 150.138220 197.478909
2026-03-01 13.727034 29.377711 50.666907 79.416157 115.411113 157.558958 209.370268
2026-03-08 11.441287 26.841764 48.543456 78.463001 116.445402 161.352198 216.957409
2026-03-15 9.247787 24.155271 46.011577 76.819837 116.497709 163.873735 222.966701
2026-03-22 8.725399 24.110484 47.124881 79.918807 122.445625 173.459592 237.307356
2026-03-29 7.806120 23.305789 47.123491 81.543283 126.573001 180.907572 249.202908
2026-04-05 6.448383 21.536562 45.607860 81.057273 127.972764 185.014921 257.108086
2026-04-12 5.279739 19.915003 44.187811 80.607901 129.348418 189.039517 264.871119
2026-04-19 4.451854 18.815309 43.476053 81.073113 131.859428 194.427504 274.249775
2026-04-26 3.523346 17.305018 42.014722 80.412735 132.849560 197.897111 281.284155
2026-05-03 2.823848 16.137996 41.011208 80.336683 134.560078 202.228692 289.338456
2026-05-10 2.108660 14.710733 39.470928 79.413846 135.096293 205.055795 295.534051
2026-05-17 1.755559 14.148859 39.341288 80.512089 138.305198 211.222579 305.797976
2026-05-24 1.483150 13.742086 39.446326 81.936172 141.940357 217.921865 316.714431
2026-05-31 1.018318 12.495459 37.980639 80.966420 142.305808 220.460976 322.506424
2026-06-07 0.604451 11.092493 36.104267 79.294433 141.657398 221.669643 326.626288